{"id": "n-f5d84ab3d5", "slug": "lakeland-carrington-place", "type": "garden-apartments", "name": "Carrington Place", "aka": [], "city": "Lakeland", "county": "Polk County", "state": "FL", "country": "US", "census_division": 5, "lat": 28.03947, "lon": -81.9498, "geocode_method": "nominatim-city", "address": null, "metro": null, "original_use": "affordable multifamily housing complex", "year_opened": null, "year_closed": null, "acres": null, "gla_sqft": null, "stores_peak": null, "levels": null, "original_developer": null, "original_architect": null, "before_notes": "Draft from baynews9.com, model-extracted, unreviewed: Carrington Place, a 40-unit affordable housing complex from the 1970s, is proposed to be demolished and replaced with a 100-unit senior housing complex.", "strategy": ["redevelop"], "new_use": ["housing"], "share_retrofit": null, "status": "proposed", "year_retrofit": null, "developer": null, "architect": null, "after_notes": null, "narrative": null, "narrative_license": null, "narrative_source": null, "zoning_change": null, "public_subsidy": null, "entitlement_year": null, "planning_notes": null, "wikidata_qid": null, "wikipedia": null, "osm_id": null, "verified": "draft", "verified_by": null, "last_verified": null, "last_updated": "2026-10-18", "created": "2026-10-18", "contributor_name": null, "contributor_org": null, "contributor_link": null, "international": 0, "county_fips": "12105", "opp_score": 10.0, "opp_reasons": ["already in play: under construction, approved, or sold to a developer with housing plans", "county grew 13.8% 2018–23", "housing in the record"], "for_sale": 0, "distressed": 0, "url": "https://retrofitatlas.org/garden-apartments/fl/lakeland-carrington-place/", "events": [], "sources": [{"id": 8413, "site_id": "n-f5d84ab3d5", "url": "https://baynews9.com/fl/tampa/news/2025/09/06/residents-concerned-about-housing-demolition-", "title": "Lakeland approves plans to demolish affordable housing complex", "publisher": "baynews9.com", "date": null, "quote": "Carrington Place", "kind": "news", "license": null, "retrieved": "2026-10-18"}], "deals": [], "parties": [], "parcels": [], "context": {"assessment": {"what_happened": "Carrington Place is a proposed redevelopment of an existing affordable multifamily housing complex in Lakeland, FL, targeting new housing use. It is not a former mall. The project is in the proposal stage (status: proposed), with no construction underway. The site is within 2.1km of Lakeland Mall (built).", "why": "Polk County grew 13.8% 2018–23. Housing market shows ZHVI at $295,509 (2026-09, -2.2% YoY), with Polk County permitting $2.7B in housing units (2024).", "where_it_stands": "No construction or sale confirmed. County permits show active housing development (2024: 8,514 units, $2.7B value).", "for_a_planner": ["No retail context provided (original use was housing, not retail).", "Lakeland Mall is the only nearby cluster site (2.1km).", "Housing market data shows modest price decline but strong construction activity."], "for_a_developer": ["Proposed project aligns with county housing demand (Polk County permits $2.7B in 2024).", "No specific developer or timeline provided.", "Affordable housing status of original site not confirmed as current."], "risks_and_unknowns": ["No construction start date or developer named.", "Original affordable status not verified as ongoing.", "No details on project scale or financing."], "data_quality": "thin", "one_line": "Proposed housing redevelopment of existing affordable multifamily site in Lakeland, supported by county housing market activity but no construction confirmed.", "model": "qwen3-30b-a3b-64k:latest", "machine": "Dell 5820 RTX 3090 (Ollama, qwen3-30b-a3b)", "record_sha1": "7c94e4968299"}, "cluster": {"within_10km": [{"id": "m-3c319fee68", "name": "Lakeland Mall", "city": "Lakeland", "status": "built", "km": 2.1}], "count_10km": 1, "count_25km": 1}, "elevation": {"elevation_ft": 195.6, "resolution": 1, "source": "USGS EPQS (3DEP)", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "food_access": {"tract10": "12105010402", "urban": 1, "lila_1_10": 1, "low_access_1mi": 1, "lapop1share": 53.130928091902, "poverty_rate": 9.565499351491571, "median_family_income": 48420.0, "snap_households": 157.0, "pop2010": 4158.0, "source": "USDA ERS Food Access Research Atlas 2019 (ArcGIS copy)", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "housing_market": {"zhvi": {"latest": 295509, "month": "2026-09", "change_1y": -0.022, "change_5y": 0.157}, "zori": {"latest": 1814, "month": "2026-09", "change_1y": 0.009, "change_5y": 0.156}, "county_fips": "12105", "source": "Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI)"}, "jobs_lodes": {"tract20": "12105010402", "jobs": 2257, "retail_jobs": 64, "food_accommodation_jobs": 434, "year": 2022, "source": "Census LEHD LODES8 WAC 2022 (all jobs, primary and secondary), blocks summed to the 2020 tract", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "listings": {"zip": "33801", "month": "202609", "median_listing_price": 276125, "median_listing_price_yy": 0.0231, "active_listing_count": 119, "median_days_on_market": 87, "price_reduced_share": 0.3089, "pending_ratio": 0.2311, "source": "Realtor.com Research, inventory core metrics by ZIP (ZCTA at the site point)", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "opportunity": {"tract10": "12105010402", "kfr_p25": 0.3649, "jail_p25": 0.0056, "kids_count": 355.0834, "commuting_zone": "Lakeland", "vintage": "children born 1978-83, outcomes measured 2014-15", "source": "Opportunity Insights, Opportunity Atlas (Chetty, Friedman, Hendren, Jones, Porter 2018)", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "peers": {"peers": [{"id": "n-2f40784505", "name": "Village Golf Club", "city": "Royal Palm Beach", "state": "FL", "score": 4.5, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop", "also in FL"]}, {"id": "n-671ae4a589", "name": "Vacant land near Citrus Park Town Center", "city": "Tampa", "state": "FL", "score": 4.5, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop", "also in FL"]}, {"id": "n-9fdd93aa38", "name": "Sears at Town Center Boca Raton", "city": "Boca Raton", "state": "FL", "score": 4.5, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop", "also in FL"]}, {"id": "n-62b2d7f03c", "name": "Deer Track Golf Resort", "city": "Surfside", "state": "FL", "score": 4.5, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop", "also in FL"]}, {"id": "n-8e8592da0b", "name": "Lakeside Plaza", "city": "Fort Lauderdale", "state": "FL", "score": 4.5, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop", "also in FL"]}, {"id": "n-460e76ef6e", "name": "Cape Coral Country Club", "city": "Cape Coral", "state": "FL", "score": 4.5, "why": ["same strategy: redevelop", "also in FL"]}], "method": "size, era, strategy, status, type, state, distance"}, "permits": {"county": "Polk County", "2024": {"units_1": 8514, "units_2_4": 154, "units_5plus": 1716, "value_total": 2737530441}, "2023": {"units_1": 9209, "units_2_4": 135, "units_5plus": 3169, "value_total": 2994712756}, "retrieved": "2026-10-18"}, "qcew_retail": {"county": "12105", "year": 2025, "establishments": 2028, "employment": 32280, "avg_annual_pay": 40169, "lq_employment": 1.23, "employment_change_1y": 1.1, "source": "BLS QCEW 2025 annual, county, NAICS 44-45 retail trade, private", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "retail_trend": {"2012": {"estab": 1763, "emp": 23540}, "2023": {"estab": 1916, "emp": 34212}, "estab_change": 0.087, "emp_change": 0.453, "county_fips": "12105"}, "schools": {"district": "Polk County School District", "district_geoid": "1201590", "grades": "PK-12", "district_vintage": "SY2024-25", "public_schools_1mi": 7, "schools": ["LAKELAND SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL", "PHILIP O'BRIEN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL", "LAWTON CHILES MIDDLE ACADEMY", "PACE CENTER FOR GIRLS", "ROSABELLE W. BLAKE ACADEMY", "MCKEEL ACADEMY CENTRAL"], "schools_vintage": "SY2023-24", "source": "NCES EDGE", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}, "storms": {"county": "12105", "years": "2016-2025", "events": 68, "by_type": {"Thunderstorm Wind": 31, "Hail": 24, "Tornado": 10, "Lightning": 1, "Heavy Rain": 1, "Funnel Cloud": 1}, "property_damage_usd": 10663000, "deaths_direct": 0, "injuries_direct": 1, "note": "county-typed events only; events logged to forecast zones (CZ_TYPE Z: most winter, heat, flood and coastal events) are not counted", "source": "NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files", "retrieved": "2026-10-20"}}, "elements": [{"slug": "strategy-redevelop", "name": "Redeveloped", "group_": "strategy", "evidence": "", "origin": "record"}, {"slug": "use-housing", "name": "Housing", "group_": "use", "evidence": "new_use field", "origin": "record"}, {"slug": "place-growing-county", "name": "Fast-growing county (8%+ 2018–23)", "group_": "place", "evidence": "14%", "origin": "census-acs"}, {"slug": "status-pipeline", "name": "Retrofit in the pipeline", "group_": "finance", "evidence": "proposed", "origin": "record"}], "details": {}, "photos": [], "provenance": {}, "restricted_fields": {"parcels": ["owner_addr", "assessed", "taxable", "tax_amount", "sale_price", "deed_ref"], "deals": ["price", "price_per_acre", "price_per_sqft", "loan_amount", "asking_price"], "how": "free API key: POST /api/v1/keys {\"email\": …}"}}