{
 "id": "n-915c56e5d3",
 "slug": "reston-reston-national-golf-course",
 "type": "golf-course",
 "name": "Reston National Golf Course",
 "aka": [],
 "city": "Reston",
 "county": "Fairfax County",
 "state": "VA",
 "country": "US",
 "census_division": 5,
 "lat": 38.94619,
 "lon": -77.3568,
 "geocode_method": "census-address",
 "address": null,
 "metro": null,
 "original_use": "golf course",
 "year_opened": null,
 "year_closed": null,
 "acres": 168.0,
 "gla_sqft": null,
 "stores_peak": null,
 "levels": null,
 "original_developer": null,
 "original_architect": null,
 "before_notes": "Draft from ffxnow.com, model-extracted, unreviewed: The 168-acre Reston National Golf Course, opened in 1970, is proposed to be renovated while allowing housing development on a 14-acre portion.",
 "strategy": [
  "redevelop",
  "reinhabit"
 ],
 "new_use": [
  "entertainment",
  "housing",
  "retail"
 ],
 "share_retrofit": null,
 "status": "proposed",
 "year_retrofit": null,
 "developer": "War Horse Cities and NVR Homes",
 "architect": "Quitno Golf Design",
 "after_notes": "renovate the golf facilities, while also allowing housing development on a 14-acre portion of land",
 "narrative": null,
 "narrative_license": null,
 "narrative_source": null,
 "zoning_change": null,
 "public_subsidy": null,
 "entitlement_year": null,
 "planning_notes": null,
 "wikidata_qid": null,
 "wikipedia": null,
 "osm_id": null,
 "verified": "draft",
 "verified_by": null,
 "last_verified": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-10-18",
 "created": "2026-10-18",
 "contributor_name": null,
 "contributor_org": null,
 "contributor_link": null,
 "international": 0,
 "county_fips": "51059",
 "opp_score": 35.0,
 "opp_reasons": [
  "already in play: under construction, approved, or sold to a developer with housing plans",
  "168 acres",
  "median rent $2,230",
  "housing in the record"
 ],
 "for_sale": 0,
 "distressed": 0,
 "deep": {},
 "elements": [
  {
   "slug": "status-pipeline",
   "name": "Retrofit in the pipeline",
   "grp": "finance",
   "evidence": "proposed",
   "origin": "newtypes-extraction"
  },
  {
   "slug": "place-mall-cluster",
   "name": "3+ other atlas sites within 10 km",
   "grp": "place",
   "evidence": "14 within 10 km",
   "origin": "computed"
  },
  {
   "slug": "place-high-traffic",
   "name": "30,000+ vehicles a day on an adjacent road",
   "grp": "place",
   "evidence": "41,813 on 602",
   "origin": "fhwa-hpms"
  },
  {
   "slug": "place-retail-shrinking-county",
   "name": "County lost 10%+ of retail establishments since 2012",
   "grp": "place",
   "evidence": "-10%",
   "origin": "census-cbp"
  },
  {
   "slug": "place-rent-2000-plus",
   "name": "County typical rent $2,000+",
   "grp": "place",
   "evidence": "$2,507/mo",
   "origin": "zillow"
  },
  {
   "slug": "scale-large-site",
   "name": "60+ acre site",
   "grp": "scale",
   "evidence": "168 acres",
   "origin": "newtypes-extraction"
  },
  {
   "slug": "strategy-redevelop",
   "name": "Redeveloped",
   "grp": "strategy",
   "evidence": "renovate the golf facilities, while also allowing housing development on a 14-acre portion of land",
   "origin": "record"
  },
  {
   "slug": "strategy-reinhabit",
   "name": "Reinhabited",
   "grp": "strategy",
   "evidence": "renovate the golf facilities, while also allowing housing development on a 14-acre portion of land",
   "origin": "record"
  },
  {
   "slug": "use-entertainment",
   "name": "Entertainment and sports",
   "grp": "use",
   "evidence": "new_use field",
   "origin": "newtypes-extraction"
  },
  {
   "slug": "use-housing",
   "name": "Housing",
   "grp": "use",
   "evidence": "renovate the golf facilities, while also allowing housing development on a 14-acre portion of land",
   "origin": "newtypes-extraction"
  },
  {
   "slug": "use-retail",
   "name": "Retail (continued)",
   "grp": "use",
   "evidence": "new_use field",
   "origin": "newtypes-extraction"
  }
 ],
 "sources": [
  {
   "id": 8370,
   "site_id": "n-915c56e5d3",
   "url": "https://www.ffxnow.com/2026/07/30/reston-national-pitches-housing-reconfiguration-as-evolution-of-golf-course/",
   "title": "Reston National pitches housing, reconfiguration as 'evolution' of ...",
   "publisher": "ffxnow.com",
   "date": null,
   "quote": "Reston National Golf Course",
   "kind": "news",
   "license": null,
   "retrieved": "2026-10-18"
  },
  {
   "id": 8371,
   "site_id": "n-915c56e5d3",
   "url": "https://www.pcrehomes.com/blog/reston-national-golf-course-rezoning-rzb555-288-homes/",
   "title": "Reston Golf Course Rezoning: 288 Homes Proposed",
   "publisher": "pcrehomes.com",
   "date": null,
   "quote": "Reston National Golf Course",
   "kind": "news",
   "license": null,
   "retrieved": "2026-10-18"
  },
  {
   "id": 8372,
   "site_id": "n-915c56e5d3",
   "url": "https://restonnationalgc.com/evolution18/",
   "title": "Reston National Golf Course Neighborhood Development",
   "publisher": "restonnationalgc.com",
   "date": null,
   "quote": "Reston National Golf Course",
   "kind": "news",
   "license": null,
   "retrieved": "2026-10-18"
  },
  {
   "id": 8373,
   "site_id": "n-915c56e5d3",
   "url": "https://restonnationalgc.com/evolution18/",
   "title": "Timeline",
   "publisher": null,
   "date": null,
   "quote": "In April 2026, Fairfax County accepted the development plans to implement the golf course upgrades and new housing, and those plans are now actively being processed.",
   "kind": "quote",
   "license": null,
   "retrieved": "2026-10-18"
  },
  {
   "id": 8374,
   "site_id": "n-915c56e5d3",
   "url": "https://restonnationalgc.com/evolution18/",
   "title": "Timeline",
   "publisher": null,
   "date": null,
   "quote": "The plan goes before the Fairfax County Planning Commission in November 2026.",
   "kind": "quote",
   "license": null,
   "retrieved": "2026-10-18"
  },
  {
   "id": 8375,
   "site_id": "n-915c56e5d3",
   "url": "https://restonnationalgc.com/evolution18/",
   "title": "Timeline",
   "publisher": null,
   "date": null,
   "quote": "If it advances, it goes to the Fairfax County Board of Supervisors for a final vote, anticipated in December 2026.",
   "kind": "quote",
   "license": null,
   "retrieved": "2026-10-18"
  }
 ],
 "parties": [
  {
   "name": "War Horse Cities and NVR Homes",
   "kind": "developer",
   "role": "developer",
   "year_from": null,
   "year_to": null
  }
 ],
 "events": [
  {
   "id": 5115,
   "site_id": "n-915c56e5d3",
   "date": null,
   "year": 2026,
   "kind": "note",
   "detail": "Fairfax County accepted the development plans",
   "share": null,
   "source_id": 8373,
   "verified": "draft"
  },
  {
   "id": 5116,
   "site_id": "n-915c56e5d3",
   "date": null,
   "year": 2026,
   "kind": "note",
   "detail": "Plan goes before Fairfax County Planning Commission",
   "share": null,
   "source_id": 8374,
   "verified": "draft"
  },
  {
   "id": 5117,
   "site_id": "n-915c56e5d3",
   "date": null,
   "year": 2026,
   "kind": "note",
   "detail": "Anticipated final vote by Board of Supervisors",
   "share": null,
   "source_id": 8375,
   "verified": "draft"
  }
 ],
 "gallery": [],
 "anchors": [],
 "deals": [],
 "owner_of_record": null,
 "ctx": {
  "assessment": {
   "what_happened": "Proposed redevelopment of 168-acre Reston National Golf Course into housing, retail, and entertainment. Developer War Horse Cities and NVR Homes plans to renovate golf facilities while permitting housing on 14 acres. Status is 'proposed' with 2026 planning commission and Board of Supervisors steps pending. ",
   "why": "168 acres (larger than most peers), housing explicitly listed as new use, median rent $2,230 cited in opportunity score. Nearby context shows 14 proposed projects within 10km (mostly housing/office), and housing market shows strong ZHVI ($756k) and rent ($2,507).",
   "where_it_stands": "Fairfax County planning process ongoing (2026 events listed). No construction started. Verified as 'draft' with 6 sources. Peer comparisons show similar-sized redevelopments (128\u2013212 acres) but all are also proposed.",
   "for_a_planner": [
    "14 proposed projects within 10km suggest active redevelopment cluster.",
    "Housing market data indicates strong demand (ZHVI +16.9% 5y, rent +21.7% 5y).",
    "No current construction timeline or completion date provided."
   ],
   "for_a_developer": [
    "14-acre housing parcel specified in after_notes.",
    "Peer projects (e.g., Kanata Lakes, Newport Beach) show similar strategy but no completed examples in record.",
    "Traffic data shows minor arterial road (4 lanes, 41,813 ADT) but no pedestrian access details."
   ],
   "risks_and_unknowns": [
    "Status remains 'proposed' with no approved timeline.",
    "Median rent ($2,230) in opportunity score conflicts with context ZORI ($2,507) \u2013 record does not reconcile.",
    "No environmental, community feedback, or budget details in record.",
    "168 acres is larger than most peers but not a unique advantage."
   ],
   "data_quality": "partial",
   "one_line": "Proposed 168-acre golf course redevelopment into housing/retail; 14 proposed projects nearby; housing market strong but no construction timeline.",
   "model": "qwen3-30b-a3b-64k:latest",
   "machine": "Dell 5820 RTX 3090 (Ollama, qwen3-30b-a3b)",
   "record_sha1": "cd1f7824a0e5"
  },
  "cluster": {
   "within_10km": [
    {
     "id": "n-e7d2647548",
     "name": "Reston Crossing",
     "city": "Reston",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 0.7
    },
    {
     "id": "n-3ab9acdeed",
     "name": "10800 Parkridge Boulevard",
     "city": "Reston",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 1.4
    },
    {
     "id": "n-7e555beee0",
     "name": "10701 Parkridge Boulevard",
     "city": "Reston",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 1.4
    },
    {
     "id": "n-db89351b3b",
     "name": "10690 Parkridge Boulevard",
     "city": "Reston",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 1.4
    },
    {
     "id": "n-ebd29e537e",
     "name": "Alexander Bell Drive",
     "city": "Reston",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 1.4
    },
    {
     "id": "n-ec2705a10e",
     "name": "Preston White Drive",
     "city": "Reston",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 1.4
    },
    {
     "id": "n-6983c57d04",
     "name": "Makers Point offices",
     "city": "Reston",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 2.2
    },
    {
     "id": "n-f46271099f",
     "name": "575 Herndon Parkway",
     "city": "Herndon",
     "status": "approved",
     "km": 2.5
    },
    {
     "id": "n-e995d5adee",
     "name": "Lake Fairfax Business Park",
     "city": "Reston",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 2.7
    },
    {
     "id": "n-39905d7686",
     "name": "Woodland Park office park",
     "city": "Herndon",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 3.6
    },
    {
     "id": "n-bdf2addd85",
     "name": "Lincoln Park Herndon",
     "city": "Herndon",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 3.6
    },
    {
     "id": "n-ff377dbbff",
     "name": "Fair Oaks Business Park",
     "city": "Fair Oaks",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 9.0
    }
   ],
   "count_10km": 14,
   "count_25km": 39
  },
  "elevation": {
   "elevation_ft": 445.2,
   "resolution": 1,
   "source": "USGS EPQS (3DEP)",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "food_access": {
   "tract10": "51059482301",
   "urban": 1,
   "lila_1_10": 0,
   "low_access_1mi": 0,
   "poverty_rate": 2.13648620618129,
   "median_family_income": 159293.0,
   "snap_households": 0.0,
   "pop2010": 4609.0,
   "source": "USDA ERS Food Access Research Atlas 2019 (ArcGIS copy)",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "housing_market": {
   "zhvi": {
    "latest": 756212,
    "month": "2026-09",
    "change_1y": 0.012,
    "change_5y": 0.169
   },
   "zori": {
    "latest": 2507,
    "month": "2026-09",
    "change_1y": 0.011,
    "change_5y": 0.217
   },
   "county_fips": "51059",
   "source": "Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI)"
  },
  "jobs_lodes": {
   "tract20": "51059482301",
   "jobs": 5108,
   "retail_jobs": 178,
   "food_accommodation_jobs": 248,
   "year": 2022,
   "source": "Census LEHD LODES8 WAC 2022 (all jobs, primary and secondary), blocks summed to the 2020 tract",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "listings": {
   "zip": "20191",
   "month": "202609",
   "median_listing_price": 544000,
   "median_listing_price_yy": -0.0799,
   "active_listing_count": 93,
   "median_days_on_market": 27,
   "price_reduced_share": 0.2221,
   "pending_ratio": 0.3784,
   "source": "Realtor.com Research, inventory core metrics by ZIP (ZCTA at the site point)",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "opportunity": {
   "tract10": "51059482301",
   "kfr_p25": 0.4774,
   "jail_p25": 0.0063,
   "kids_count": 131.0938,
   "commuting_zone": "Washington DC",
   "vintage": "children born 1978-83, outcomes measured 2014-15",
   "source": "Opportunity Insights, Opportunity Atlas (Chetty, Friedman, Hendren, Jones, Porter 2018)",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "peers": {
   "peers": [
    {
     "id": "n-0c3badc250",
     "name": "Kanata Lakes Golf and Country Club",
     "city": "Kanata North",
     "state": null,
     "score": 7.0,
     "why": [
      "similar size (173 acres)",
      "same strategy: redevelop"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-76be12ceb9",
     "name": "Newport Beach Country Club",
     "city": "Newport Beach",
     "state": "CA",
     "score": 7.0,
     "why": [
      "similar size (128.5 acres)",
      "same strategy: redevelop"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-6be0752385",
     "name": "Wichita Falls Business Park",
     "city": "Wichita Falls",
     "state": "TX",
     "score": 6.5,
     "why": [
      "similar size (225 acres)",
      "same strategy: redevelop"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-404fe29f46",
     "name": "American Viscose Plant Historic District",
     "city": "Roanoke",
     "state": "VA",
     "score": 6.5,
     "why": [
      "similar size (212 acres)",
      "same strategy: redevelop, reinhabit",
      "also in VA"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-1fdea51f3b",
     "name": "Great Northern Mall area",
     "city": "North Olmsted",
     "state": "OH",
     "score": 6.5,
     "why": [
      "similar size (140 acres)",
      "same strategy: redevelop"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-7e8ff5d052",
     "name": "American Can's corporate campus",
     "city": "Greenwich",
     "state": "CT",
     "score": 6.5,
     "why": [
      "similar size (154 acres)",
      "same strategy: redevelop"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "method": "size, era, strategy, status, type, state, distance"
  },
  "permits": {
   "county": "Fairfax County",
   "2024": {
    "units_1": 1032,
    "units_2_4": 0,
    "units_5plus": 1829,
    "value_total": 497832451
   },
   "2023": {
    "units_1": 1204,
    "units_2_4": 2,
    "units_5plus": 2042,
    "value_total": 466553009
   },
   "retrieved": "2026-10-18"
  },
  "qcew_retail": {
   "county": "51059",
   "year": 2025,
   "establishments": 2426,
   "employment": 49323,
   "avg_annual_pay": 51506,
   "lq_employment": 0.79,
   "employment_change_1y": 0.8,
   "source": "BLS QCEW 2025 annual, county, NAICS 44-45 retail trade, private",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "retail_trend": {
   "2012": {
    "estab": 2730,
    "emp": 50096
   },
   "2023": {
    "estab": 2457,
    "emp": 49386
   },
   "estab_change": -0.1,
   "emp_change": -0.014,
   "county_fips": "51059"
  },
  "schools": {
   "district": "Fairfax County Public Schools",
   "district_geoid": "5101260",
   "grades": "PK-12",
   "district_vintage": "SY2024-25",
   "public_schools_1mi": 2,
   "schools": [
    "Dogwood Elementary",
    "Hunters Woods Elementary School for the Arts and Sciences"
   ],
   "schools_vintage": "SY2023-24",
   "source": "NCES EDGE",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "storms": {
   "county": "51059",
   "years": "2016-2025",
   "events": 780,
   "by_type": {
    "Thunderstorm Wind": 386,
    "Flood": 246,
    "Flash Flood": 103,
    "Hail": 39,
    "Tornado": 5,
    "Funnel Cloud": 1
   },
   "property_damage_usd": 4587000,
   "deaths_direct": 2,
   "injuries_direct": 0,
   "note": "county-typed events only; events logged to forecast zones (CZ_TYPE Z: most winter, heat, flood and coastal events) are not counted",
   "source": "NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "traffic": {
   "max_aadt": 41813,
   "trucks_aadt": 657,
   "road": "602",
   "class": "minor arterial",
   "lanes": 4,
   "segments_600m": 36,
   "year": "2024",
   "source": "FHWA HPMS",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  }
 },
 "parcels": [],
 "url": "https://retrofitatlas.org/golf-courses/va/reston-reston-national-golf-course/",
 "photo": null,
 "provenance": {
  "acres": "newtypes-extraction",
  "status": "newtypes-extraction",
  "after_notes": "newtypes-extraction",
  "developer": "newtypes-extraction"
 }
}