{
 "id": "n-dbd6b92f2f",
 "slug": "fairfax-city-courthouse-plaza-shopping-center",
 "type": "strip",
 "name": "Courthouse Plaza Shopping Center",
 "aka": [],
 "city": "Fairfax City",
 "county": "Fairfax city",
 "state": "VA",
 "country": "US",
 "census_division": 5,
 "lat": 38.86629,
 "lon": -77.27489,
 "geocode_method": "nominatim-city",
 "address": null,
 "metro": null,
 "original_use": "retail",
 "year_opened": null,
 "year_closed": null,
 "acres": null,
 "gla_sqft": null,
 "stores_peak": null,
 "levels": null,
 "original_developer": null,
 "original_architect": null,
 "before_notes": "Draft from ffxnow.com, model-extracted, unreviewed: A multi-phase mixed-use development is proposed for the Courthouse Plaza Shopping Center in Fairfax City, involving demolition of the western portion for residential and retail, and future replacement of the eastern retail.",
 "strategy": [
  "redevelop",
  "reinhabit"
 ],
 "new_use": [
  "housing",
  "mixed",
  "retail"
 ],
 "share_retrofit": null,
 "status": "proposed",
 "year_retrofit": null,
 "developer": "Combined Properties",
 "architect": null,
 "after_notes": "A multi-phase mixed-use development with residential buildings, ground-floor retail, parking, and green space, replacing portions of the existing shopping center.",
 "narrative": null,
 "narrative_license": null,
 "narrative_source": null,
 "zoning_change": "proposed",
 "public_subsidy": null,
 "entitlement_year": null,
 "planning_notes": "Approved by Fairfax City Council.",
 "wikidata_qid": null,
 "wikipedia": null,
 "osm_id": null,
 "verified": "draft",
 "verified_by": null,
 "last_verified": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-10-18",
 "created": "2026-10-18",
 "contributor_name": null,
 "contributor_org": null,
 "contributor_link": null,
 "international": 0,
 "county_fips": "51600",
 "opp_score": 10.0,
 "opp_reasons": [
  "already in play: under construction, approved, or sold to a developer with housing plans",
  "median rent $2,122",
  "housing in the record"
 ],
 "for_sale": 0,
 "distressed": 0,
 "deep": {},
 "elements": [
  {
   "slug": "status-pipeline",
   "name": "Retrofit in the pipeline",
   "grp": "finance",
   "evidence": "proposed",
   "origin": "newtypes-extraction"
  },
  {
   "slug": "place-mall-cluster",
   "name": "3+ other atlas sites within 10 km",
   "grp": "place",
   "evidence": "12 within 10 km",
   "origin": "computed"
  },
  {
   "slug": "place-high-traffic",
   "name": "30,000+ vehicles a day on an adjacent road",
   "grp": "place",
   "evidence": "31,694 on 29",
   "origin": "fhwa-hpms"
  },
  {
   "slug": "place-retail-shrinking-county",
   "name": "County lost 10%+ of retail establishments since 2012",
   "grp": "place",
   "evidence": "-20%",
   "origin": "census-cbp"
  },
  {
   "slug": "place-rent-2000-plus",
   "name": "County typical rent $2,000+",
   "grp": "place",
   "evidence": "$2,457/mo",
   "origin": "zillow"
  },
  {
   "slug": "strategy-redevelop",
   "name": "Redeveloped",
   "grp": "strategy",
   "evidence": "A multi-phase mixed-use development with residential buildings, ground-floor retail, parking, and green space, replacing portions of the existing shopping center.",
   "origin": "record"
  },
  {
   "slug": "strategy-reinhabit",
   "name": "Reinhabited",
   "grp": "strategy",
   "evidence": "A multi-phase mixed-use development with residential buildings, ground-floor retail, parking, and green space, replacing portions of the existing shopping center.",
   "origin": "record"
  },
  {
   "slug": "use-housing",
   "name": "Housing",
   "grp": "use",
   "evidence": "A multi-phase mixed-use development with residential buildings, ground-floor retail, parking, and green space, r",
   "origin": "newtypes-extraction"
  },
  {
   "slug": "use-mixed",
   "name": "Mixed use",
   "grp": "use",
   "evidence": "A multi-phase mixed-use development with residential buildings, ground-floor retail",
   "origin": "newtypes-extraction"
  },
  {
   "slug": "use-park",
   "name": "Park and open space",
   "grp": "use",
   "evidence": "th residential buildings, ground-floor retail, parking, and green space, replacing portions of the existing shopping center. Approv",
   "origin": "newtypes-extraction"
  },
  {
   "slug": "use-retail",
   "name": "Retail (continued)",
   "grp": "use",
   "evidence": "ed-use development with residential buildings, ground-floor retail, parking, and green space, replacing portions of the existi",
   "origin": "newtypes-extraction"
  }
 ],
 "sources": [
  {
   "id": 9292,
   "site_id": "n-dbd6b92f2f",
   "url": "https://www.ffxnow.com/2026/02/27/fairfax-city-council-weighs-revised-shopping-center-overhaul-office-redevelopment/",
   "title": "Fairfax City Council weighs revised shopping center overhaul, office ...",
   "publisher": "ffxnow.com",
   "date": null,
   "quote": "Courthouse Plaza Shopping Center proposal",
   "kind": "news",
   "license": null,
   "retrieved": "2026-10-18"
  },
  {
   "id": 9293,
   "site_id": "n-dbd6b92f2f",
   "url": "https://www.ffxnow.com/2026/02/27/fairfax-city-council-weighs-revised-shopping-center-overhaul-office-redevelopment/",
   "title": "Timeline",
   "publisher": null,
   "date": null,
   "quote": "Mayor Catherine Read said the first phase would likely not be occupied until at least 2031",
   "kind": "quote",
   "license": null,
   "retrieved": "2026-10-18"
  }
 ],
 "parties": [
  {
   "name": "Combined Properties",
   "kind": "developer",
   "role": "developer",
   "year_from": null,
   "year_to": null
  }
 ],
 "events": [
  {
   "id": 5870,
   "site_id": "n-dbd6b92f2f",
   "date": null,
   "year": 2031,
   "kind": "note",
   "detail": "First phase likely not occupied",
   "share": null,
   "source_id": 9293,
   "verified": "draft"
  }
 ],
 "gallery": [],
 "anchors": [
  {
   "name": "Safeway",
   "wikipedia": null,
   "category": "named in text"
  },
  {
   "name": "Layered",
   "wikipedia": null,
   "category": "tenant (from text)"
  },
  {
   "name": "Joe's Pizza and Pasta",
   "wikipedia": null,
   "category": "tenant (from text)"
  }
 ],
 "deals": [],
 "owner_of_record": null,
 "ctx": {
  "assessment": {
   "what_happened": "Proposed redevelopment of Courthouse Plaza Shopping Center (strip retail) in Fairfax City, VA. Approved by Fairfax City Council. Developer Combined Properties plans multi-phase mixed-use (housing, retail, parking, green space) replacing portions of the existing center. Status: proposed (not under construction).",
   "why": "Strategy: redevelop/reinhabit. New use: housing/mixed/retail. Approved by council. Opp_score reasons: 'already in play' (but record shows proposed, not built).",
   "where_it_stands": "No construction confirmed. Event: '2031: First phase likely not occupied' suggests delayed timeline. Verified as 'draft' (incomplete data).",
   "for_a_planner": [
    "Approved but not built",
    "12 nearby projects within 10km (mostly proposed)",
    "No current construction status"
   ],
   "for_a_developer": [
    "Zoning change proposed",
    "Median rent $2,122 cited but not verified in record",
    "No parcel details or deal terms provided"
   ],
   "risks_and_unknowns": [
    "Status: proposed (not under construction)",
    "No timeline beyond 2031 event",
    "Verified as 'draft' (data incomplete)"
   ],
   "data_quality": "partial",
   "one_line": "Proposed mixed-use redevelopment approved but not built; status 'proposed' with no construction confirmed.",
   "model": "qwen3-30b-a3b-64k:latest",
   "machine": "Dell 5820 RTX 3090 (Ollama, qwen3-30b-a3b)",
   "record_sha1": "7c8769e04303"
  },
  "cluster": {
   "within_10km": [
    {
     "id": "n-31898b39c8",
     "name": "Office building at 10340 Democracy Lane",
     "city": "Fairfax City",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 0.0
    },
    {
     "id": "n-40f334f0f0",
     "name": "Grand Central Mall",
     "city": "Vienna",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 4.0
    },
    {
     "id": "n-ba0747a175",
     "name": "Merrifield at Dunn Loring Station Apartments",
     "city": "Merrifield",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 4.2
    },
    {
     "id": "n-bec17acfa3",
     "name": "Merrifield at Dunn Loring Station Apartments",
     "city": "Merrifield",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 4.2
    },
    {
     "id": "n-e9c006c891",
     "name": "Prosperity Business Campus",
     "city": "Merrifield",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 4.2
    },
    {
     "id": "n-c270fd80aa",
     "name": "1950 Old Gallows Road",
     "city": "Tysons",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 6.7
    },
    {
     "id": "n-35cdae9830",
     "name": "Fair Oaks Mall",
     "city": "Fairfax County",
     "status": "approved",
     "km": 7.3
    },
    {
     "id": "n-ff377dbbff",
     "name": "Fair Oaks Business Park",
     "city": "Fair Oaks",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 7.3
    },
    {
     "id": "m-86fa8b01f9",
     "name": "Tysons Corner Center",
     "city": "Tysons Corner",
     "status": "partial",
     "km": 7.4
    },
    {
     "id": "m-ffe563474c",
     "name": "Tysons Galleria",
     "city": "Tysons Corner",
     "status": "partial",
     "km": 7.8
    },
    {
     "id": "n-f892a73511",
     "name": "Eden Center",
     "city": "Falls Church",
     "status": "operating",
     "km": 9.1
    },
    {
     "id": "n-6983c57d04",
     "name": "Makers Point offices",
     "city": "Reston",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 9.8
    }
   ],
   "count_10km": 12,
   "count_25km": 62
  },
  "elevation": {
   "elevation_ft": 342.2,
   "resolution": 1,
   "source": "USGS EPQS (3DEP)",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "food_access": {
   "tract10": "51600300200",
   "urban": 1,
   "lila_1_10": 0,
   "low_access_1mi": 1,
   "lapop1share": 46.3771403783747,
   "poverty_rate": 8.00079020150138,
   "median_family_income": 164857.0,
   "snap_households": 40.0,
   "pop2010": 4775.0,
   "source": "USDA ERS Food Access Research Atlas 2019 (ArcGIS copy)",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "housing_market": {
   "zhvi": {
    "latest": 768671,
    "month": "2026-09",
    "change_1y": 0.027,
    "change_5y": 0.215
   },
   "zori": {
    "latest": 2457,
    "month": "2026-09",
    "change_1y": 0.006,
    "change_5y": 0.156
   },
   "county_fips": "51600",
   "source": "Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI)"
  },
  "jobs_lodes": {
   "tract20": "51600300200",
   "jobs": 7127,
   "retail_jobs": 675,
   "food_accommodation_jobs": 768,
   "year": 2022,
   "source": "Census LEHD LODES8 WAC 2022 (all jobs, primary and secondary), blocks summed to the 2020 tract",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "listings": {
   "zip": "22031",
   "month": "202609",
   "median_listing_price": 625000,
   "median_listing_price_yy": -0.2056,
   "active_listing_count": 81,
   "median_days_on_market": 41,
   "price_reduced_share": 0.129,
   "pending_ratio": 0.9321,
   "source": "Realtor.com Research, inventory core metrics by ZIP (ZCTA at the site point)",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "opportunity": {
   "tract10": "51600300200",
   "kfr_p25": 0.5023,
   "jail_p25": 0.0013,
   "kids_count": 325.3739,
   "commuting_zone": "Washington DC",
   "vintage": "children born 1978-83, outcomes measured 2014-15",
   "source": "Opportunity Insights, Opportunity Atlas (Chetty, Friedman, Hendren, Jones, Porter 2018)",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "peers": {
   "peers": [
    {
     "id": "n-e9c006c891",
     "name": "Prosperity Business Campus",
     "city": "Merrifield",
     "state": "VA",
     "score": 6.0,
     "why": [
      "same strategy: redevelop",
      "also in VA",
      "4 km away"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-c270fd80aa",
     "name": "1950 Old Gallows Road",
     "city": "Tysons",
     "state": "VA",
     "score": 6.0,
     "why": [
      "same strategy: redevelop",
      "also in VA",
      "7 km away"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-a1190c7464",
     "name": "Former Manassas Ice & Fuel Co. site",
     "city": "Manassas",
     "state": "VA",
     "score": 6.0,
     "why": [
      "same strategy: redevelop",
      "also in VA",
      "21 km away"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-ba0747a175",
     "name": "Merrifield at Dunn Loring Station Apartments",
     "city": "Merrifield",
     "state": "VA",
     "score": 6.0,
     "why": [
      "same strategy: redevelop",
      "also in VA",
      "4 km away"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-e995d5adee",
     "name": "Lake Fairfax Business Park",
     "city": "Reston",
     "state": "VA",
     "score": 6.0,
     "why": [
      "same strategy: redevelop",
      "also in VA",
      "10 km away"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-40f334f0f0",
     "name": "Grand Central Mall",
     "city": "Vienna",
     "state": "VA",
     "score": 6.0,
     "why": [
      "same strategy: redevelop, reinhabit",
      "also in VA",
      "4 km away"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "method": "size, era, strategy, status, type, state, distance"
  },
  "permits": {
   "county": "Fairfax (Independent City)",
   "2024": {
    "units_1": 71,
    "units_2_4": 0,
    "units_5plus": 0,
    "value_total": 12571660
   },
   "2023": {
    "units_1": 26,
    "units_2_4": 0,
    "units_5plus": 0,
    "value_total": 6969522
   },
   "retrieved": "2026-10-18"
  },
  "qcew_retail": {
   "county": "51600",
   "year": 2025,
   "establishments": 154,
   "employment": 3171,
   "avg_annual_pay": 56006,
   "lq_employment": 1.27,
   "employment_change_1y": -1.3,
   "source": "BLS QCEW 2025 annual, county, NAICS 44-45 retail trade, private",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "retail_trend": {
   "2012": {
    "estab": 251,
    "emp": 5505
   },
   "2023": {
    "estab": 202,
    "emp": 4118
   },
   "estab_change": -0.195,
   "emp_change": -0.252,
   "county_fips": "51600"
  },
  "schools": {
   "district": "Fairfax City Public Schools",
   "district_geoid": "5101230",
   "grades": "PK-12",
   "district_vintage": "SY2024-25",
   "public_schools_1mi": 4,
   "schools": [
    "Fairfax High",
    "Mosaic Elementary",
    "Oakton High",
    "Fairfax High School Academy"
   ],
   "schools_vintage": "SY2023-24",
   "source": "NCES EDGE",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "storms": {
   "county": "51600",
   "years": "2016-2025",
   "events": 5,
   "by_type": {
    "Thunderstorm Wind": 3,
    "Flood": 2
   },
   "property_damage_usd": 6000,
   "deaths_direct": 0,
   "injuries_direct": 0,
   "note": "county-typed events only; events logged to forecast zones (CZ_TYPE Z: most winter, heat, flood and coastal events) are not counted",
   "source": "NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "traffic": {
   "max_aadt": 31694,
   "trucks_aadt": 384,
   "road": "29",
   "class": "principal arterial",
   "lanes": 6,
   "segments_600m": 24,
   "year": "2024",
   "source": "FHWA HPMS",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  }
 },
 "parcels": [],
 "url": "https://retrofitatlas.org/strips/va/fairfax-city-courthouse-plaza-shopping-center/",
 "photo": null,
 "provenance": {
  "status": "newtypes-extraction",
  "after_notes": "newtypes-extraction",
  "developer": "newtypes-extraction",
  "zoning_change": "newtypes-extraction",
  "state": "census-geocoder"
 },
 "links_out": [
  {
   "group": "official",
   "label": "Fairfax city (51600) profile (data.census.gov)",
   "url": "https://data.census.gov/profile?g=050XX00US51600",
   "why": "the county's Census profile",
   "from": "site.county_fips 51600",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "official",
   "label": "FEMA flood map (NFHL) at this point",
   "url": "https://msc.fema.gov/portal/search?AddressQuery=38.86629%2C-77.27489",
   "why": "FEMA Map Service Center search by coordinates: the effective flood zone and panel",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "official",
   "label": "EPA ECHO facilities within 1 mile",
   "url": "https://echo.epa.gov/facilities/facility-search/results?p_lat=38.86629&p_long=-77.27489&p_radius=1",
   "why": "EPA Enforcement and Compliance History: regulated facilities near the point",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "reference",
   "label": "Wikimedia Commons photos within 500 m",
   "url": "https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&search=nearcoord%3A500m%2C38.86629%2C-77.27489&ns6=1",
   "why": "a Commons geo-search around the point; licences vary by file",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "reference",
   "label": "Retrofitting Suburbia (book site)",
   "url": "https://www.retrofittingsuburbia.com/",
   "why": "Ellen Dunham-Jones and June Williamson's book and case studies, the research this database is built on",
   "from": "constant",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "Google Maps",
   "url": "https://www.google.com/maps/search/?api=1&query=38.86629%2C-77.27489",
   "why": "the point on Google Maps",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "Street View",
   "url": "https://www.google.com/maps/@?api=1&map_action=pano&viewpoint=38.86629%2C-77.27489",
   "why": "the nearest Street View panorama",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "Bing Maps",
   "url": "https://www.bing.com/maps?cp=38.86629~-77.27489&lvl=17",
   "why": "the point on Bing Maps (Bird's eye where available)",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "Apple Maps",
   "url": "https://maps.apple.com/?ll=38.86629,-77.27489&z=17&q=Courthouse%20Plaza%20Shopping%20Center",
   "why": "the point on Apple Maps",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "OpenStreetMap",
   "url": "https://www.openstreetmap.org/?mlat=38.86629&mlon=-77.27489#map=17/38.86629/-77.27489",
   "why": "the point on OpenStreetMap",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "Walk Score at this point",
   "url": "https://www.walkscore.com/score/loc/lat=38.86629/lng=-77.27489",
   "why": "Walk Score's walkability, transit and bike scores for the coordinates",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener nofollow"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "Transitland map",
   "url": "https://www.transit.land/map#17/38.86629/-77.27489",
   "why": "transit routes and stops from open GTFS feeds around the point",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "USGS National Map",
   "url": "https://apps.nationalmap.gov/viewer/?center=-77.27489,38.86629&zoom=16",
   "why": "topographic and elevation layers from the USGS",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "market",
   "label": "LoopNet: for sale in Fairfax City, VA",
   "url": "https://www.loopnet.com/search/commercial-real-estate/fairfax-city-va/for-sale/",
   "why": "LoopNet's city search (checked in a browser 21 Oct 2026); the site itself may or may not be listed",
   "from": "site.city + state \u2192 search",
   "rel": "noopener nofollow sponsored"
  },
  {
   "group": "news",
   "label": "Google News: \u201cCourthouse Plaza Shopping Center\u201d",
   "url": "https://news.google.com/search?q=%22Courthouse+Plaza+Shopping+Center%22+Fairfax+City",
   "why": "news search for the site name and city",
   "from": "site.name + city \u2192 search",
   "rel": "noopener nofollow"
  },
  {
   "group": "news",
   "label": "Bing News: \u201cCourthouse Plaza Shopping Center\u201d",
   "url": "https://www.bing.com/news/search?q=%22Courthouse+Plaza+Shopping+Center%22+Fairfax+City",
   "why": "news search for the site name and city",
   "from": "site.name + city \u2192 search",
   "rel": "noopener nofollow"
  },
  {
   "group": "reference",
   "label": "Fairfax, Virginia on Wikipedia",
   "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fairfax,_Virginia",
   "why": "the city or town's article: government, history, demographics (resolved through a redirect)",
   "from": "city_wikipedia.json (Wikipedia API)",
   "rel": "noopener"
  }
 ]
}