{
 "id": "n-e9c006c891",
 "slug": "merrifield-prosperity-business-campus",
 "type": "office-park",
 "name": "Prosperity Business Campus",
 "aka": [],
 "city": "Merrifield",
 "county": "Fairfax County",
 "state": "VA",
 "country": "US",
 "census_division": 5,
 "lat": 38.87414,
 "lon": -77.22749,
 "geocode_method": "nominatim-city",
 "address": null,
 "metro": null,
 "original_use": "industrial office park",
 "year_opened": null,
 "year_closed": null,
 "acres": null,
 "gla_sqft": null,
 "stores_peak": null,
 "levels": null,
 "original_developer": null,
 "original_architect": null,
 "before_notes": "Draft from ffxnow.com, model-extracted, unreviewed: The 41-acre Prosperity Business Campus industrial office park in Merrifield is proposed to be redeveloped into a residential neighborhood starting with 156 townhomes.",
 "strategy": [
  "redevelop"
 ],
 "new_use": [
  "housing",
  "park"
 ],
 "share_retrofit": null,
 "status": "proposed",
 "year_retrofit": null,
 "developer": null,
 "architect": null,
 "after_notes": null,
 "narrative": null,
 "narrative_license": null,
 "narrative_source": null,
 "zoning_change": null,
 "public_subsidy": null,
 "entitlement_year": null,
 "planning_notes": null,
 "wikidata_qid": null,
 "wikipedia": null,
 "osm_id": null,
 "verified": "draft",
 "verified_by": null,
 "last_verified": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-10-18",
 "created": "2026-10-18",
 "contributor_name": null,
 "contributor_org": null,
 "contributor_link": null,
 "international": 0,
 "county_fips": "51059",
 "opp_score": 10.0,
 "opp_reasons": [
  "already in play: under construction, approved, or sold to a developer with housing plans",
  "median rent $2,230",
  "housing in the record"
 ],
 "for_sale": 0,
 "distressed": 0,
 "deep": {},
 "elements": [
  {
   "slug": "status-pipeline",
   "name": "Retrofit in the pipeline",
   "grp": "finance",
   "evidence": "proposed",
   "origin": "newtypes-extraction"
  },
  {
   "slug": "place-mall-cluster",
   "name": "3+ other atlas sites within 10 km",
   "grp": "place",
   "evidence": "11 within 10 km",
   "origin": "computed"
  },
  {
   "slug": "place-high-traffic",
   "name": "30,000+ vehicles a day on an adjacent road",
   "grp": "place",
   "evidence": "34,430 on 650",
   "origin": "fhwa-hpms"
  },
  {
   "slug": "place-retail-shrinking-county",
   "name": "County lost 10%+ of retail establishments since 2012",
   "grp": "place",
   "evidence": "-10%",
   "origin": "census-cbp"
  },
  {
   "slug": "place-rent-2000-plus",
   "name": "County typical rent $2,000+",
   "grp": "place",
   "evidence": "$2,507/mo",
   "origin": "zillow"
  },
  {
   "slug": "strategy-redevelop",
   "name": "Redeveloped",
   "grp": "strategy",
   "evidence": "",
   "origin": "record"
  },
  {
   "slug": "use-housing",
   "name": "Housing",
   "grp": "use",
   "evidence": "new_use field",
   "origin": "record"
  },
  {
   "slug": "use-park",
   "name": "Park and open space",
   "grp": "use",
   "evidence": "new_use field",
   "origin": "record"
  }
 ],
 "sources": [
  {
   "id": 6992,
   "site_id": "n-e9c006c891",
   "url": "https://www.ffxnow.com/2026/02/26/over-100-townhomes-proposed-for-first-phase-of-merrifield-office-park-development/",
   "title": "Over 100 townhomes proposed for first phase of Merrifield office park ...",
   "publisher": "ffxnow.com",
   "date": null,
   "quote": "Prosperity Business Campus",
   "kind": "news",
   "license": null,
   "retrieved": "2026-10-18"
  }
 ],
 "parties": [],
 "events": [],
 "gallery": [],
 "anchors": [],
 "deals": [],
 "owner_of_record": null,
 "ctx": {
  "assessment": {
   "what_happened": "Prosperity Business Campus (Merrifield, VA) is a proposed office-park redevelopment with new housing/park uses. Status is 'proposed' and verified as 'draft'.",
   "why": "Record shows it's 'already in play' (per opp_reasons), with housing market data (ZHVI $756k, ZORI $2,507) aligning with strategy. 11 nearby projects within 10km include two identical proposed apartment projects at the same location (Merrifield at Dunn Loring Station Apartments).",
   "where_it_stands": "Permits show 2024 housing units: 1,032 single-family and 1,829 multi-family. Traffic data shows minor arterial road (6 lanes) with 34,430 ADT. No timeline or developer named.",
   "for_a_planner": [
    "Status: Proposed (not under construction/sold).",
    "Context: 11 projects within 10km, including duplicate proposals at same site.",
    "Market: Housing demand supported by ZHVI/ZORI data."
   ],
   "for_a_developer": [
    "Opportunity score 10.0 hinges on 'already in play' status, but record lacks construction timeline or buyer details.",
    "Peer projects (score 6.5) are 4-17km away; all redeveloping office parks in VA."
   ],
   "risks_and_unknowns": [
    "Record contradicts 'already in play' with 'proposed' status (no construction/sale evidence).",
    "Duplicate project entries (two identical proposals) unexplained.",
    "No details on zoning approvals, timeline, or current ownership."
   ],
   "data_quality": "good",
   "one_line": "Proposed office-park redevelopment to housing/park; aligned with market data but status unclear (proposed vs. 'in play').",
   "model": "qwen3-30b-a3b-64k:latest",
   "machine": "Dell 5820 RTX 3090 (Ollama, qwen3-30b-a3b)",
   "record_sha1": "36717871deae"
  },
  "cluster": {
   "within_10km": [
    {
     "id": "n-ba0747a175",
     "name": "Merrifield at Dunn Loring Station Apartments",
     "city": "Merrifield",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 0.0
    },
    {
     "id": "n-bec17acfa3",
     "name": "Merrifield at Dunn Loring Station Apartments",
     "city": "Merrifield",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 0.0
    },
    {
     "id": "n-c270fd80aa",
     "name": "1950 Old Gallows Road",
     "city": "Tysons",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 4.1
    },
    {
     "id": "n-31898b39c8",
     "name": "Office building at 10340 Democracy Lane",
     "city": "Fairfax City",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 4.2
    },
    {
     "id": "n-dbd6b92f2f",
     "name": "Courthouse Plaza Shopping Center",
     "city": "Fairfax City",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 4.2
    },
    {
     "id": "n-40f334f0f0",
     "name": "Grand Central Mall",
     "city": "Vienna",
     "status": "proposed",
     "km": 4.4
    },
    {
     "id": "m-86fa8b01f9",
     "name": "Tysons Corner Center",
     "city": "Tysons Corner",
     "status": "partial",
     "km": 4.9
    },
    {
     "id": "n-f892a73511",
     "name": "Eden Center",
     "city": "Falls Church",
     "status": "operating",
     "km": 5.0
    },
    {
     "id": "m-ffe563474c",
     "name": "Tysons Galleria",
     "city": "Tysons Corner",
     "status": "partial",
     "km": 5.6
    },
    {
     "id": "m-a4a41b3240",
     "name": "Seven Corners Shopping Center",
     "city": "Seven Corners",
     "status": "operating",
     "km": 6.6
    },
    {
     "id": "m-19b309c013",
     "name": "Skyline Mall",
     "city": "Falls Church",
     "status": "closed",
     "km": 10.0
    }
   ],
   "count_10km": 11,
   "count_25km": 62
  },
  "elevation": {
   "elevation_ft": 358.0,
   "resolution": 1,
   "source": "USGS EPQS (3DEP)",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "food_access": {
   "tract10": "51059440201",
   "urban": 1,
   "lila_1_10": 0,
   "low_access_1mi": 0,
   "lapop1share": 0.0,
   "poverty_rate": 4.67581047381546,
   "median_family_income": 140484.0,
   "snap_households": 36.0,
   "pop2010": 2233.0,
   "source": "USDA ERS Food Access Research Atlas 2019 (ArcGIS copy)",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "housing_market": {
   "zhvi": {
    "latest": 756212,
    "month": "2026-09",
    "change_1y": 0.012,
    "change_5y": 0.169
   },
   "zori": {
    "latest": 2507,
    "month": "2026-09",
    "change_1y": 0.011,
    "change_5y": 0.217
   },
   "county_fips": "51059",
   "source": "Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI)"
  },
  "jobs_lodes": {
   "tract20": "51059440201",
   "jobs": 10929,
   "retail_jobs": 1150,
   "food_accommodation_jobs": 2039,
   "year": 2022,
   "source": "Census LEHD LODES8 WAC 2022 (all jobs, primary and secondary), blocks summed to the 2020 tract",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "listings": {
   "zip": "22042",
   "month": "202609",
   "median_listing_price": 762500,
   "median_listing_price_yy": 0.0649,
   "active_listing_count": 67,
   "median_days_on_market": 44,
   "price_reduced_share": 0.149,
   "pending_ratio": 0.3731,
   "source": "Realtor.com Research, inventory core metrics by ZIP (ZCTA at the site point)",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "opportunity": {
   "tract10": "51059440201",
   "kfr_p25": 0.4973,
   "jail_p25": 0.0826,
   "kids_count": 320.8252,
   "commuting_zone": "Washington DC",
   "vintage": "children born 1978-83, outcomes measured 2014-15",
   "source": "Opportunity Insights, Opportunity Atlas (Chetty, Friedman, Hendren, Jones, Porter 2018)",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "peers": {
   "peers": [
    {
     "id": "n-c270fd80aa",
     "name": "1950 Old Gallows Road",
     "city": "Tysons",
     "state": "VA",
     "score": 6.5,
     "why": [
      "same strategy: redevelop",
      "also in VA",
      "4 km away"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-e995d5adee",
     "name": "Lake Fairfax Business Park",
     "city": "Reston",
     "state": "VA",
     "score": 6.5,
     "why": [
      "same strategy: redevelop",
      "also in VA",
      "12 km away"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-39905d7686",
     "name": "Woodland Park office park",
     "city": "Herndon",
     "state": "VA",
     "score": 6.5,
     "why": [
      "same strategy: redevelop",
      "also in VA",
      "17 km away"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-ff377dbbff",
     "name": "Fair Oaks Business Park",
     "city": "Fair Oaks",
     "state": "VA",
     "score": 6.5,
     "why": [
      "same strategy: redevelop",
      "also in VA",
      "11 km away"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-6983c57d04",
     "name": "Makers Point offices",
     "city": "Reston",
     "state": "VA",
     "score": 6.5,
     "why": [
      "same strategy: redevelop",
      "also in VA",
      "12 km away"
     ]
    },
    {
     "id": "n-e7d2647548",
     "name": "Reston Crossing",
     "city": "Reston",
     "state": "VA",
     "score": 6.5,
     "why": [
      "same strategy: redevelop",
      "also in VA",
      "14 km away"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "method": "size, era, strategy, status, type, state, distance"
  },
  "permits": {
   "county": "Fairfax County",
   "2024": {
    "units_1": 1032,
    "units_2_4": 0,
    "units_5plus": 1829,
    "value_total": 497832451
   },
   "2023": {
    "units_1": 1204,
    "units_2_4": 2,
    "units_5plus": 2042,
    "value_total": 466553009
   },
   "retrieved": "2026-10-18"
  },
  "qcew_retail": {
   "county": "51059",
   "year": 2025,
   "establishments": 2426,
   "employment": 49323,
   "avg_annual_pay": 51506,
   "lq_employment": 0.79,
   "employment_change_1y": 0.8,
   "source": "BLS QCEW 2025 annual, county, NAICS 44-45 retail trade, private",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "retail_trend": {
   "2012": {
    "estab": 2730,
    "emp": 50096
   },
   "2023": {
    "estab": 2457,
    "emp": 49386
   },
   "estab_change": -0.1,
   "emp_change": -0.014,
   "county_fips": "51059"
  },
  "schools": {
   "district": "Fairfax County Public Schools",
   "district_geoid": "5101260",
   "grades": "PK-12",
   "district_vintage": "SY2024-25",
   "public_schools_1mi": 3,
   "schools": [
    "Jackson Middle",
    "Stenwood Elementary",
    "Interagency Alternative Secondary Center"
   ],
   "schools_vintage": "SY2023-24",
   "source": "NCES EDGE",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "storms": {
   "county": "51059",
   "years": "2016-2025",
   "events": 780,
   "by_type": {
    "Thunderstorm Wind": 386,
    "Flood": 246,
    "Flash Flood": 103,
    "Hail": 39,
    "Tornado": 5,
    "Funnel Cloud": 1
   },
   "property_damage_usd": 4587000,
   "deaths_direct": 2,
   "injuries_direct": 0,
   "note": "county-typed events only; events logged to forecast zones (CZ_TYPE Z: most winter, heat, flood and coastal events) are not counted",
   "source": "NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, details files",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  },
  "traffic": {
   "max_aadt": 34430,
   "trucks_aadt": 762,
   "road": "650",
   "class": "minor arterial",
   "lanes": 6,
   "segments_600m": 25,
   "year": "2024",
   "source": "FHWA HPMS",
   "retrieved": "2026-10-20"
  }
 },
 "parcels": [],
 "url": "https://retrofitatlas.org/office-parks/va/merrifield-prosperity-business-campus/",
 "photo": null,
 "provenance": {
  "status": "newtypes-extraction"
 },
 "links_out": [
  {
   "group": "official",
   "label": "Fairfax County (51059) profile (data.census.gov)",
   "url": "https://data.census.gov/profile?g=050XX00US51059",
   "why": "the county's Census profile",
   "from": "site.county_fips 51059",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "official",
   "label": "FEMA flood map (NFHL) at this point",
   "url": "https://msc.fema.gov/portal/search?AddressQuery=38.87414%2C-77.22749",
   "why": "FEMA Map Service Center search by coordinates: the effective flood zone and panel",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "official",
   "label": "EPA ECHO facilities within 1 mile",
   "url": "https://echo.epa.gov/facilities/facility-search/results?p_lat=38.87414&p_long=-77.22749&p_radius=1",
   "why": "EPA Enforcement and Compliance History: regulated facilities near the point",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "reference",
   "label": "Wikimedia Commons photos within 500 m",
   "url": "https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?title=Special:Search&search=nearcoord%3A500m%2C38.87414%2C-77.22749&ns6=1",
   "why": "a Commons geo-search around the point; licences vary by file",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "reference",
   "label": "Retrofitting Suburbia (book site)",
   "url": "https://www.retrofittingsuburbia.com/",
   "why": "Ellen Dunham-Jones and June Williamson's book and case studies, the research this database is built on",
   "from": "constant",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "Google Maps",
   "url": "https://www.google.com/maps/search/?api=1&query=38.87414%2C-77.22749",
   "why": "the point on Google Maps",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "Street View",
   "url": "https://www.google.com/maps/@?api=1&map_action=pano&viewpoint=38.87414%2C-77.22749",
   "why": "the nearest Street View panorama",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "Bing Maps",
   "url": "https://www.bing.com/maps?cp=38.87414~-77.22749&lvl=17",
   "why": "the point on Bing Maps (Bird's eye where available)",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "Apple Maps",
   "url": "https://maps.apple.com/?ll=38.87414,-77.22749&z=17&q=Prosperity%20Business%20Campus",
   "why": "the point on Apple Maps",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "OpenStreetMap",
   "url": "https://www.openstreetmap.org/?mlat=38.87414&mlon=-77.22749#map=17/38.87414/-77.22749",
   "why": "the point on OpenStreetMap",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "Walk Score at this point",
   "url": "https://www.walkscore.com/score/loc/lat=38.87414/lng=-77.22749",
   "why": "Walk Score's walkability, transit and bike scores for the coordinates",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener nofollow"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "Transitland map",
   "url": "https://www.transit.land/map#17/38.87414/-77.22749",
   "why": "transit routes and stops from open GTFS feeds around the point",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "place",
   "label": "USGS National Map",
   "url": "https://apps.nationalmap.gov/viewer/?center=-77.22749,38.87414&zoom=16",
   "why": "topographic and elevation layers from the USGS",
   "from": "site.lat/lon",
   "rel": "noopener"
  },
  {
   "group": "market",
   "label": "LoopNet: for sale in Merrifield, VA",
   "url": "https://www.loopnet.com/search/commercial-real-estate/merrifield-va/for-sale/",
   "why": "LoopNet's city search (checked in a browser 21 Oct 2026); the site itself may or may not be listed",
   "from": "site.city + state \u2192 search",
   "rel": "noopener nofollow sponsored"
  },
  {
   "group": "news",
   "label": "Google News: \u201cProsperity Business Campus\u201d",
   "url": "https://news.google.com/search?q=%22Prosperity+Business+Campus%22+Merrifield",
   "why": "news search for the site name and city",
   "from": "site.name + city \u2192 search",
   "rel": "noopener nofollow"
  },
  {
   "group": "news",
   "label": "Bing News: \u201cProsperity Business Campus\u201d",
   "url": "https://www.bing.com/news/search?q=%22Prosperity+Business+Campus%22+Merrifield",
   "why": "news search for the site name and city",
   "from": "site.name + city \u2192 search",
   "rel": "noopener nofollow"
  },
  {
   "group": "planning",
   "label": "Merrifield, Virginia on Wikipedia",
   "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merrifield,_Virginia",
   "why": "the city or town's article: government, history, demographics",
   "from": "city_wikipedia.json (Wikipedia API)",
   "rel": "noopener"
  }
 ]
}