Retrofit Atlas

Strip centers · Minnesota

Tonka Village Shopping Center

Imported, unreviewedRedevelopedRetrofit proposedTONKA BAY, MN

Proposed housing conversion (126 units) approved in Tonka Bay, MN; market-aligned but construction status unconfirmed. · summary, model-written

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Site profile6 elements · what this retrofit is built with · tap a chip for the evidence

Finance and pipeline
Retrofit in the pipelineThis site: …proposed record · all sites with this
Place
County lost 10%+ of retail establishments since 2012This site: -12% census-cbp · all sites with this
Policy tool
Master plan or PUDThis site: …planned unit development general concept plan (planned unit development application) record · all sites with this
Scale
Under 20 acresThis site: 6.34 acres newtypes-extraction · all sites with this
Strategy
RedevelopedThis site: …a 126-unit, three-story building that’s 53,000 square feet, a mixture of two-story townhomes and one- and two-bedroom apartments and 186 underground parking… record · all sites with this
New use
HousingThis site: building that’s 53,000 square feet, a mixture of two-story townhomes and one- and two-bedroom apartments and 186 underground par newtypes-extraction · all sites with this

All elements and lists · Trends

Now

StatusRetrofit proposedWikipedia no source
StrategyRedevelopment, proposedWikipedia no source
New useshousing, otherWikipedia no source
What is there nowa 126-unit, three-story building that’s 53,000 square feet, a mixture of two-story townhomes and one- and two-bedroom apartments and 186 underground parking spots, as well as a separate 4,500-square-foot clubhouse and a courtyardnewtypes-extraction reported
Retrofit year2020newtypes-extraction reported
DeveloperDoran Developmentnewtypes-extraction

History and original facts

Acres6.3newtypes-extraction reported
AnchorsHazellewood Grill & Tap Room
CountyHennepin County
Census division4 · West North Central
NotesDraft from twincities.com, model-extracted, unreviewed: A portion of the 6.34-acre Tonka Village Shopping Center in Tonka Bay is proposed to be demolished and redeveloped into a 126-unit multifamily housing complex with townhomes, apartments, and a clubhouse.

Not yet recorded: GLA, year opened, original developer. Know it? Tell us.

Planning

Zoning changeplanned unit development general concept plan (planned unit development application)newtypes-extraction
Entitlement year2019Wikipedia no source
Planning notesApproved by Tonka Bay City Council.Wikipedia no source

Before and after

Before: the mall

Nothing extracted yet.

After: the retrofit

Housing units built126quote
Parking spaces186quote
Parkingundergroundquote

Hover "quote" to see the sentence each value came from. Planned figures are labelled planned. Method.

Site context

Housing permits, Hennepin County (MN), 20241,739 units in 5+ unit buildings, 126 in 2–4, 2,054 single-family; 2023: 3,772 in 5+Census BPS
Other atlas sites nearby1 within 10 km, 8 within 25 km: Bay Center Mall (9.6 km)computed
Retail trade in the county, 2025 (BLS QCEW)65,774 jobs in 3,548 establishments; average annual pay $47,428; employment location quotient 0.72; employment -2.5% on the yearBLS QCEW 2025, NAICS 44-45, private
Jobs located in the tract, 20222,353 jobs; 351 in retail trade, 708 in accommodation and food (workplace blocks summed to tract 27053027501)Census LEHD LODES8 WAC 2022
Upward mobility (Opportunity Atlas, 2010 tract)children of low-income (25th percentile) families reached the 45th income percentile as adults; 1.1% incarcerated at the 2010 count (229 children in the sample); born 1978–83, measured 2014–15Opportunity Insights
Food access (USDA FARA 2019, 2010 tract)low-access at 1 mile, not low-income; 44% of residents more than 1 mile from a supermarket; poverty rate 6.0%; median family income $124,464; 120 SNAP householdsUSDA ERS
SchoolsMinnetonka Public School District (PK-12); 0 public schools within 1 mileNCES EDGE
Elevation945 ft above sea level at the site pointUSGS 3DEP
Storm events in the county, 2016-2025308 county-logged events: 139 thunderstorm wind, 122 hail, 25 heavy rain, 16 flash flood; $18,687,200 property damage reported; forecast-zone events (most flood, winter and heat) not countedNOAA Storm Events
Homes for sale in ZIP 55331, 2026-09median list price $1,444,750 (-2.8% on the year); 105 active listings; median 41 days on market; 10% with a price cutRealtor.com Research
Retail trade in the county, 2012 to 20233,714 establishments (-12%); 74,922 jobs (+1%)Census CBP
Housing market in the countytypical home value $386,707 (+1% 1 yr, +8% 5 yr); typical rent $1,784/mo (+4% 1 yr), 2026-09Zillow Research
Traffic on the busiest road within 600 m (2024)14,095 vehicles a day on Oak St (minor arterial, 2 lanes); 1 counted segmentsFHWA HPMS

Summary, model-written

Proposed redevelopment of Tonka Village Shopping Center (6.34 acres, strip format) into 126-unit mixed-use housing (townhomes, apartments, clubhouse, courtyard) with 186 parking spots. Approved by Tonka Bay City Council in 2019 under planned unit development zoning. Doran Development (developer) targets completion by 2020.

Why. Status: Proposed but approved (planning notes confirm council approval). Market: Housing demand supported by $1,439 median rent (ZORI) and $386,707 ZHVI (2026-09). Peer comparison: Similar to Edina’s JCPenney redevelopment (score 8.0).

Where it stands. Planning approved (2019), but construction status unknown (2020 goal noted). Traffic: Minor arterial (Oak St, 2 lanes, 14,095 ADT) but truck data missing.

For a planner

  • Approved entitlements in place
  • Housing market metrics align with project type
  • No current construction status confirmed

For a developer

  • Developer active (Doran) with approved plan
  • Market rent/price data supports housing conversion
  • Peer projects show similar strategy success

What we do not know yet

  • No construction progress verified (2020 goal not confirmed)
  • Truck traffic data missing (affects access analysis)
  • Record marked 'draft' (verification pending)

Generated by qwen3-30b-a3b-64k:latest on Dell 5820 RTX 3090 (Ollama, qwen3-30b-a3b) from the fields, parcels, deals and context layers on this page, with no outside knowledge. It is regenerated when the record changes and has not been checked by a person. How it is made.

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Multifamily screen

  • already in play: under construction, approved, or sold to a developer with housing plans
  • median rent $1,439
  • housing in the record

Inputs: record fields (size, status) and county Census ACS 2018–2023 figures (growth, rent). How the points work. Not a recommendation.

Timeline

  1. 2018 Preliminary plans discussed by City Council
  2. 2019 Public hearing for updated proposal
  3. 2019 Hoped to begin construction
  4. 2020 Goal of finishing the project
  5. 2020 Retrofit: redevelop

Sources

  • Public hearing planned for updated Tonka Village Shopping Center ...
    5 quoted sentences
    Tonka Village Shopping Center
    The Tonka Bay City Council had discussed preliminary plans for the multifamily housing redevelopment in November 2018
    The Tonka Bay City Council will hold a public hearing on the planned unit development general concept plan for 5609 Manitou Road on Tuesday, Feb. 12 at 7 p.m.
    Kuechle’s letter to the city says they hope to get the necessary approvals in time to begin construction by this summer

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